Friday, January 4, 2013

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If you’re looking for a nice payday at the beginning of February when Super Bowl XLVII is over, you might want to get a head start by sorting through the odds of the eight teams playing this weekend in the wild-card round. Recent history—and actual payouts in Las Vegas sports books—suggest a gold nugget might be found right now.china cheap jerseys nfl nba mlb nhl ncaa

Five of the last seven Super Bowl winners had to go the long route of playing the extra game in the wild-card round to get to the Super Bowl, and all of them had pretty hefty odds at the beginning of the playoffs.

Momentum appears to the common element to advancing to the big game, and having the extra week off as a No. 1 or 2 seed doesn't seem provide the same edge it used to. The time off may actually hurt. Look at the Falcons from two years ago, when a hot Packers squad came in to Atlanta and knocked them out, and then the Giants doing the same thing to the Packers at Lambeau Field last season.
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Some of the attractive prices on recent teams that had to get through the wild-card round en route to a Super Bowl win include both Giants’ runs (both 25-1); the 2010 Packers (15-1); and the 2005 Steelers (18-1).

Who might be this year’s wild-card Super Bowl winner?

Here’s a look at the contenders, along with their odds offered by the LVH SuperBook, which posts some of the fairest future prices in Las Vegas with a super-low theoretical hold. The common denominators with the winning teams in the past have been coming into the playoffs hot and having a couple of vulnerable higher-seeded teams in their conference.

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